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From: Evaggelos Geraniotis <evangeran@yahoo.com>
Subject: [discussion] Stimulus Added Millions of Jobs
Date: August 27th 2010

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Friends

I am attaching a recent article from Reuters (Tue Aug 24) about the impact of Stimulus (Recovery Act). As usual I precede it by a commentary.   This is one of several articles that I intend to sent out about the Recovery Act that present the facts about one of the major Accomplishments of the Administration and the Democratic Congress.  

There has been so much distortion, misinformation and frankly outright lies by Fox News and even the mainstream Media that the majority of the American people have come to believe that the Stimulus has been a failure and a waste of tax payer dollars.   Naturally the slow pace of the recovery and the persistent high unemployment rate have not helped the cause.   It seems that we lost the Message War in the eyes of the public opinion about this, I know many Democrats who have their doubts about the impact of the Stimulus and have not felt its direct impact in their lives in a significant way.  Hopefully, the President, the DNC, and the Democratic Candidates will  publicize some of the successes of the Recovery Act during the last two months of the 2010 Campaign !!!

Successes such as the cash for clunkers program, the return to profitability of GM and Chrysler, the assistance to the States (both the one in the original Recovery Act and the additional recent $26 billion  to retain teacher and first responder jobs and extend Medicare for seniors), the tax credits for first-time home buyers, tax credits and tax cuts for lower and middle class Americans, extension of unemployment benefits till Nov 2010 can not be denied. 

Overall, this is difficult issue to present with a lot of details about the economy and its inner workings.   Therefore,  I will try to parcel it to several pieces each with a distinct focus and sent it out piecemeal.  Hopefully,  I will not abuse your patience. Today's commentary is introductory,  it only describes the components of the Stimulus and provides a broad overview of its impact.   Then the attached article fills some of the numbers about the overall impact.

The Components of the Stimulus (Recovery Act)

Frankly 1/3 of the stimulus ($ 280 billion) was tax cuts and tax credits for lower and middle class Americans.   Though it was helpful, the ditch that Bush and the GOP took us in during their 8 years was too deep and too wide to be sufficient in itself to stimulate the economy significantly; it did provide some relief and it puts to shame the GOP argument that under Pres Obama, taxes have gone up.  In reality, the Fed taxes for the lower class and the middle class were reduced and together with tax credits for first time home buyers, cash for clunkers, tax credits for refitting houses so that they are energy efficient, and help with refinancing loans and avoiding bank foreclosures improved the lot for many Americans who have been under pressure from the current recession.

Another 1/3 ($290 billion) was slated for help to the economically ailing States so that Medicare, Medicaid and all kinds of service programs provided by the States remain funded and to retain the jobs of those working in the state and municipal administrations and services so that continue to serve their communities.   To this add the original funds for extending unemployment benefits for 2009 and part of 2010 till the additional recent extension ($32 billion) that will assist working Americans till Nov 2010.  Without the above the current recession that resulted from 8 years of Bush failed economic policies and the 2008 Wall St meltdown will have forced the States to lay millions more of teachers, policemen, firefighters, state employees, municipal employees and other types of personnel that serve the people in every State.  Moreover, $ 100 billion or so went to cover the shortfalls for Medicare and Medicaid so that our seniors still get the help they need.

The last 1/3 of the stimulus ($290 billion) was the part that is currently working to stimulate the economy directly though investments in infrastructure (road, bridge and highway repair, as well as shovel ready projects all over across the country), clean energy (solar, wind, batteries for electric cars, electric cars, clean coal, bio-fuels, nuclear waste storage), high speed trains, expansion of High Speed Internet connections over the countryside, nationwide power grid, and direct investment in innovative information and medical technologies  (for efficient data processing, creating national database for health care) and others.  

Several eminent progressive economists (like Paul Krugman, prof at Princeton, Nobel Prize in Economics) from the beginning criticized the size of this portion of the Stimulus.  They sensed how deep and wide the hole in the economy was after the Collapse of 2008 and suggested that this portion of the Stimulus should be two or three times larger !!!   Unfortunately Conservative Democrats and the 3 GOP Senators: Specter (then GOP of PA) , Collins and Snow (of Maine), who supported it, requested the inclusion of tax cuts and the reduction of its size.   At the time the President thought that he should pursue bipartisan support for the legislation.  The compromise that followed  shaped the Stimulus to the size and intent described above.  In truth this was a wasted opportunity, the Stimulus (the last portion) should have been considerably larger and help put people back to work.   The GOP never believed in bipartisanship and never intended to provide any support to the Obama Agenda; from the beginning they decided to oppose any positive measures so that the economy deteriorates and they can come back to power.

66 Days Left to Nov 2 !!!  Keep Fighting !!! Support the Democratic Candidates !!!

Evan Geraniotis

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Stimulus added millions of jobs in Q2

WASHINGTON | Tue Aug 24, 2010 6:34pm EDT


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The massive U.S. stimulus package put millions of people to work and boosted national output by hundreds of billions of dollars in the second quarter, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said on Tuesday.


CBO's latest estimate indicates that the stimulus effort, which remains a political hot potato ahead of the November congressional elections, may have prevented the sluggish U.S. economy from contracting between April and June.


CBO said President Barack Obama's stimulus boosted real GDP in the quarter by between 1.7 percent and 4.5 percent, adding at least $200 billion in economic activity.

During that time the economy was growing at an anemic pace.


Gross domestic product rose just 0.6 percent during that period, according to preliminary Commerce Department data which economists expect will be revised sharply lower when new figures are released on Friday.


The massive package of tax cuts, construction spending and enhanced safety-net benefits was passed in February 2009 in the midst of the deepest recession since the 1930s.


It raised employment by between 1.4 million and 3.3 million jobs during the second quarter of this year, CBO estimated.


Measured another way, CBO said the stimulus increased the number of full-time equivalent jobs by up to 4.8 million, as part-time workers shifted to full-time work or employers offered more overtime work.


CBO said the package, officially known as the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, would cost $814 billion, down from its previous estimate of $862 billion. The lower figure was thanks largely to health-care subsidies that cost less than anticipated. CBO initially estimated the bill would worsen budget deficits by $787 billion.


Other than that, the estimate varies only slightly from the budget office's forecast released in May.

With both the House of Representatives and the Senate up for grabs in November, Democrats hope voters will give them credit for breathing some life into the economy, which had begun to weaken while Republican George W. Bush was still president.


"The Recovery Act is working to rescue the economy from eight years of failed economic policy and rebuild it even stronger than before," Vice President Joe Biden said in a prepared statement. "It's impossible for even the most cynical, bent-on-rooting-for-failure critics to deny."


Republicans, who almost universally opposed the stimulus, have criticized it as wasteful and ineffective.

Some 67 percent of those surveyed in a Reuters/Ipsos poll last month said Obama is not focusing enough on job creation. Voters in that survey said the economy and jobs are the most pressing issues facing the country.


CBO said it expects the effects of the stimulus to gradually diminish over the remainder of the year.

(Additional reporting by Emily Kaiser; Editing by Cynthia Osterman)